Glentoran vs Coleraine FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Glentoran. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glentoran vs Coleraine FC?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Glentoran (1,686) and Coleraine FC (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glentoran have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Coleraine FC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Glentoran win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Coleraine FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Coleraine FC 6-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Glentoran 1-1 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Glentoran 2-1 Coleraine FC | League Cup |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Coleraine FC 1-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Coleraine FC vs Glentoran on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Coleraine FC score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Coleraine FC | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glentoran sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Coleraine FC sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glentoran vs Coleraine FC?
- The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Glentoran.
- Where and when is Glentoran vs Coleraine FC played?
- Glentoran vs Coleraine FC is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at BetMcLean Oval, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.