Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Ballymena United (1,483) and Carrick Rangers (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ballymena United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Carrick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 0-3 Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 2-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Ballymena United 2-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-1 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 3 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.