Larne vs Cliftonville FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Larne the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cliftonville FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Cliftonville FC?
Larne starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cliftonville FC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Larne win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cliftonville FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Larne 2-0 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Larne 0-0 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 0-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 1-1 Larne | Premiership |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Larne 0-1 Cliftonville FC | League Cup |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Larne 2-0 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Larne vs Cliftonville FC on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cliftonville FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Cliftonville FC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larne sit 9th in Premiership (1 points from 1 matches) and Cliftonville FC sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cliftonville FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Larne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Cliftonville FC?
- The Footlab model makes Larne the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cliftonville FC.
- Where and when is Larne vs Cliftonville FC played?
- Larne vs Cliftonville FC is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.