Portadown vs Linfield: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Linfield?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Linfield have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dollingstown(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portadown win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Linfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Linfield 3-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Portadown 2-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Linfield 3-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Portadown 1-3 Linfield | Premiership |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Linfield 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Portadown 2-2 Linfield | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Linfield vs Portadown on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Linfield score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Linfield | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 10th in Premiership (0 points from 3 matches) and Linfield sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Linfield?
- The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Linfield played?
- Portadown vs Linfield is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.