Gnistan vs Ilves: result 1-3 and analysis
VeikkausliigaChampionship Round - 7Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
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What was the result of Gnistan vs Ilves?
Ilves won 1-3 on October 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′J. KangaIlves (pen.)
- 49′O. PetterssonGnistan
- 52′R. RiskiIlves
- 90′M. SöderbäckIlves
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gnistan have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ilves have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | SJK(home) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 3, 2025 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 3-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | KuPS(home) | 0-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Ilves(away) | 2-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 16, 2025 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | SJK(away) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 29, 2025 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Gnistan(home) | 3-2 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gnistan win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ilves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Ilves 3-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Ilves 2-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Gnistan 0-2 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| May 28, 2025 | Gnistan 3-0 Ilves | Suomen Cup |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Ilves 4-0 Gnistan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gnistan 1-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gnistan score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ilves score 1.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ilves | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gnistan sit 3rd in Veikkausliiga (35 points from 21 matches) and Ilves sit 9th (25 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gnistan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 9 | Ilves | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 35 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy