Ilves vs SJK: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaRelegation Group - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ratinan Stadion, Tampere (Tammerfors)
The Footlab AI model makes Ilves the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for SJK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilves wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilves vs SJK?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ilves (1,807) and SJK (1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilves vs SJK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilves
4-4-2- 9T. Hytönen
- 45E. Tamminen
- 13K. Wallius
- 28J. Kilo
- 14A. Popovitch
- 19Goudouss Bamba
- 5S. Väisänen
- 24V. Kumpu
- 22O. Multala
- 3M. Rale
- 12F. Krkalić
SJK
5-3-2- 7Kelwin
- 9J. Streng
- 48A. Traore
- 8A. Boström
- 23A. Wilson
- 15E. Mömmö
- 2Facundo Costantini
- 5O. Väistö
- 28K. Nwanege
- 4Kelvin Pires
- 1R. Paunio
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilves have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SJK have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mariehamn(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turku PS(away) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 3-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | FF Jaro(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Mariehamn(home) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FF Jaro(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Turku PS(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ilves win, 4 draws, 1 SJK win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ilves 2-2 SJK | Veikkausliiga |
| May 2, 2026 | SJK 1-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Ilves 3-1 SJK | League Cup |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Ilves 3-3 SJK | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | SJK 2-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 5, 2025 | SJK 1-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilves score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SJK score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| SJK | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilves sit 2nd in Veikkausliiga (35 points from 26 matches) and SJK sit 4th (27 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
A question about Ilves vs SJK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilves vs SJK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilves the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for SJK.
- Where and when is Ilves vs SJK played?
- Ilves vs SJK is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ratinan Stadion, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.