Gnistan vs Ilves: result 3-2 and analysis
VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
Full time
What was the result of Gnistan vs Ilves?
Gnistan won 3-2 on August 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′S. VäisänenGnistan (o.g.)
- 14′T. HytönenIlves
- 41′A. PopovitchIlves
- 45′A. AkinyemiGnistan
- 81′B. MilovanovGnistan
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Gnistan win at 40%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Gnistan vs Ilves
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gnistan
3-4-3- 26R. Eremenko
- 17A. Akinyemi
- 23S. Ylätupa
- 12E. Arko-Mensah
- 15G. Europaeus
- 31A. Jouhi
- 19B. Milovanov
- 3Ruxi
- 67A. Obileye
- 24R. Gnanou
- 95M. JuriÄka
Ilves
3-4-3- 28J. Kilo
- 9T. Hytönen
- 30J. Kanga
- 13K. Wallius
- 14A. Popovitch
- 33Y. Sacko
- 4Oliver Pettersson
- 3M. Rale
- 5S. Väisänen
- 16T. Miettunen
- 12F. Krkalić
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gnistan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ilves have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | SJK(away) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mariehamn(home) | 4-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mariehamn(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gnistan wins, 1 draw, 5 Ilves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Ilves 2-0 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ilves 1-0 Gnistan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Gnistan 1-3 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Ilves 3-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Ilves 2-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Gnistan 0-2 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gnistan score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ilves score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ilves | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gnistan sit 4th in Veikkausliiga (42 points from 27 matches) and Ilves sit 2nd (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IlvesRelegration Group | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 4 | GnistanChampion Group | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 42 |
A question about Gnistan vs Ilves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy