GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for GO Ahead Eagles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate GO Ahead Eagles (1,964) and NEC Nijmegen (2,051).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GO Ahead Eagles have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GO Ahead Eagles win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 NEC Nijmegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 2-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Oct 5, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 2-3 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Dec 7, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 5-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| May 23, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 28, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GO Ahead Eagles score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for GO Ahead Eagles.
- Where and when is GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- GO Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at De Adelaarshorst, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.