NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieMatchday 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Heerenveen. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate NEC Nijmegen (2,089) and Heerenveen (2,099).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 9T. Chery
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 7M. Rivera
- 20J. Trenskow
- 8N. Courtens
- 16M. Linday
- 14L. Smans
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 45O. Braude
- 3M. Willemsen
- 1B. Klaverboer
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Heerenveen have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 5-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NEC Nijmegen wins, 1 draw, 3 Heerenveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 22, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Heerenveen 3-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Heerenveen 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 19, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (14 points from 12 matches) and Heerenveen sit 6th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 14 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Heerenveen.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.