Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Sparta Rotterdam (1,925) and ADO Den Haag (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sparta Rotterdam win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 1, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Sparta Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.