Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan: prediction and stats
Indian Super LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Margao
The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Goa. The most likely score is 1-1. If ATK Mohun Bagan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
ATK Mohun Bagan starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,637 vs 1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Goa
4-4-2- 28F. Feuillassier
- 9Chiki
- 21U. Singh
- 5Álex Vallejo
- 44Muhammed Nemil Valiyattil
- 22P. Vishwas
- 3S. Jhingan
- 15Álex Zalaya
- 48Konsam Singh
- 14A. Sangwan
- 45B. Jackson
ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2- 19L. Erwin
- 18S. Samad
- 45L. Ralte
- 9L. Chhangte
- 71D. Dražić
- 6A. Thapa
- 27T. Singh
- 5Mehtab Singh
- 21Alberto Rodríguez
- 2R. Bheke
- 1V. Kaith
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; ATK Mohun Bagan have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chennaiyin(home) | 1-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dempo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 18, 2026 | Kerala Blasters(away) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | SC Delhi(away) | 2-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 0-1 | Indian Super League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | East Bengal II(home) | 1-0 | IFA Shield |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(home) | 0-0 | IFA Shield |
| Sep 29, 2026 | NorthEast United(home) | 1-1 | IFA Shield |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goa wins, 1 draw, 2 ATK Mohun Bagan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Goa 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Apr 30, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 Goa | AIFF Super Cup |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Goa | Indian Super League |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Goa 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Goa 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan | Indian Super League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | ATK Mohun Bagan 1-4 Goa | Indian Super League |
Last archived meeting: Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goa score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ATK Mohun Bagan score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goa | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| ATK Mohun Bagan | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goa sit 8th in Indian Super League (1 point from 1 match) and ATK Mohun Bagan sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
- The Footlab AI model makes ATK Mohun Bagan the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Goa.
- Where and when is Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan played?
- Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan is played on December 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the Indian Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.