Gobelins vs Rouen: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Stade Pelé, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Rouen the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Gobelins. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gobelins vs Rouen?
Rouen starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gobelins vs Rouen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gobelins
5-4-1- 11A. Sidibe
- 29N. Donat
- 6I. Camara
- 8O. Bezzekhami
- 22E. Michut
- 5J. Poha
- 19I. Kone
- 20J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze
- 18E. Dode
- 24N. Bernardino
- 30A. Temperton
Rouen
4-1-4-1- 9M. Tchokounté
- 13B. Camara
- 11N. Sommer
- 10I. Karamoko
- 12A. Touré
- 8G. Egny
- 5J. Gaspar
- 18C. Bassin
- 22Formose Mendy
- 15Z. Lamgahez
- 1A. Maraval
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gobelins have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rouen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Caen(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gobelins win, 2 draws, 3 Rouen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Gobelins 0-0 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Rouen 3-0 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2025 | Rouen 2-2 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Gobelins 1-0 Rouen | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Gobelins 1-2 Rouen | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Rouen 3-2 Gobelins | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Gobelins score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rouen score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gobelins | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Rouen | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gobelins sit 11th in Ligue 3 (12 points from 9 matches) and Rouen sit 2nd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | Gobelins | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
A question about Gobelins vs Rouen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gobelins vs Rouen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rouen the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Gobelins.
- Where and when is Gobelins vs Rouen played?
- Gobelins vs Rouen is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Pelé, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.