Quevilly vs Orleans: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Diochon, Le Petit-Quevilly
The Footlab model makes Orleans the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Quevilly. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quevilly vs Orleans?
Orleans starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quevilly have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Orleans have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oissel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Quevilly win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Orleans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Orleans 0-3 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Quevilly 0-1 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Orleans 0-0 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Quevilly 1-1 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 15, 2021 | Orleans 3-4 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Quevilly 3-1 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Quevilly score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orleans score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quevilly | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Orleans | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quevilly sit 17th in Ligue 3 (1 points from 3 matches) and Orleans sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Orleans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 | Quevilly | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quevilly vs Orleans?
- The Footlab model makes Orleans the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Quevilly.
- Where and when is Quevilly vs Orleans played?
- Quevilly vs Orleans is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Diochon, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.