GOES vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), Goes
The Footlab AI model makes GOES the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1. If GOES wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOES vs Groene Ster?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate GOES (1,622) and Groene Ster (1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GOES vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GOES
4-3-3- 22Sjoerd Verhulst
- 11R. Traas
- HH. van Hecke
- 10Tim de Winter
- 8Steven Smulder
- 12J. Noah
- 4R. James
- 20Renzo Roemeratoe
- 2D. van Dijk
- 2J. Klap
- 23T. Huberts
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOES have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UNA(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EVV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 GOES win, 0 draws, 2 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groene Ster 2-1 GOES | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Groene Ster 1-0 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 21, 2025 | GOES 3-2 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
GOES score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOES | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOES sit 7th in Derde Divisie (14 points from 9 matches) and Groene Ster sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
A question about GOES vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOES vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes GOES the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is GOES vs Groene Ster played?
- GOES vs Groene Ster is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.