Match

GOES vs Zwaluwen: prediction and stats

Derde DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), Goes

GOESZwaluwen

The Footlab model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for GOES. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win GOES vs Zwaluwen?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate GOES (1,622) and Zwaluwen (1,717).

GOES win35 %
Draw24 %
Zwaluwen win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOES have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Zwaluwen have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

GOES
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gemert(away)2-2Derde Divisie
Aug 16, 2026EVV(home)3-2Derde Divisie
May 23, 2026Gemert(home)3-3Derde Divisie - Sunday
May 16, 2026Vvsb(away)0-1Derde Divisie - Sunday
May 10, 2026Meerssen(home)3-4Derde Divisie - Sunday
Zwaluwen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026UNA(home)1-1Derde Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Dongen(away)0-4Derde Divisie
May 23, 2026Blauw Geel(home)3-0Derde Divisie - Sunday
May 16, 2026ASWH(away)6-1Derde Divisie - Sunday
May 9, 2026TOGB(home)0-1Derde Divisie - Sunday

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 GOES win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zwaluwen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026GOES 1-3 ZwaluwenDerde Divisie - Sunday
Sep 13, 2025Zwaluwen 0-2 GOESDerde Divisie - Sunday

Last archived meeting: GOES vs Zwaluwen on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

GOES score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zwaluwen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
GOES1.51.728/159/15
Zwaluwen1.81.338/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

GOES sit 6th in Derde Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Zwaluwen sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6GOES2110544
15Zwaluwen2011151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for GOES vs Zwaluwen?
The Footlab model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for GOES.
Where and when is GOES vs Zwaluwen played?
GOES vs Zwaluwen is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), in the Derde Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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