Goiatuba EC vs Sao Jose: prediction and stats
Serie DFinalKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa, Goiatuba, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Goiatuba EC the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Sao Jose. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goiatuba EC vs Sao Jose?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Goiatuba EC (1,789) and Sao Jose (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goiatuba EC have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Sao Jose have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASA(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ferroviario(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ferroviario(home) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Treze(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Treze(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Santa Catarina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Goiatuba EC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sao Jose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Sao Jose 1-2 Goiatuba EC | Serie D |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Goiatuba EC 1-1 Sao Jose | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Goiatuba EC score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Jose score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiatuba EC | 1.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Sao Jose | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goiatuba EC sit 2nd in Serie D (19 points from 10 matches) and Sao Jose sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goiatuba EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Sao Jose | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goiatuba EC vs Sao Jose?
- The Footlab model makes Goiatuba EC the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Sao Jose.
- Where and when is Goiatuba EC vs Sao Jose played?
- Goiatuba EC vs Sao Jose is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Divino Garcia Rosa, in the Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.