Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC: prediction and stats
Serie DFinalKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
The Footlab model makes Sao Jose the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Goiatuba EC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Sao Jose (1,728) and Goiatuba EC (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Jose have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Goiatuba EC have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Treze(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Treze(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Santa Catarina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASA(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ferroviario(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ferroviario(home) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sao Jose win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Goiatuba EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Sao Jose 1-2 Goiatuba EC | Serie D |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Goiatuba EC 1-1 Sao Jose | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Jose score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Goiatuba EC score 1.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Jose | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Goiatuba EC | 1.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Jose sit 4th in Serie D (13 points from 10 matches) and Goiatuba EC sit 2nd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goiatuba EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Sao Jose | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
- The Footlab model makes Sao Jose the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Goiatuba EC.
- Where and when is Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC played?
- Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Francisco Novelletto Neto, in the Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.