Golden Arrows vs Durban City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Durban City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Durban City?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Golden Arrows (1,803) and Durban City (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Durban City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Golden Arrows win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Durban City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City 0-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Golden Arrows 1-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Golden Arrows 1-1 Durban City | Cup |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Durban City 1-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs Golden Arrows on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Durban City sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Durban City?
- The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Durban City played?
- Golden Arrows vs Durban City is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.