Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Pietersburg
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Polokwane City. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,076 Elo points against 1,718, a 359-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polokwane City
4-2-3-1- 44Tidimalo Molokwane
- 21Manuel Kambala
- 17B. Dlamini
- 14N. Maphangule
- 25K. Sebone
- 18G. Philander
- 34L. Nkaki
- 42Surprise Manthosi
- 27Malebogo Modise
- 22E. Ramaja
- 60A. Ngwenya
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 13I. Rayners
- 4T. Mokoena
- 17T. Matthews
- 11M. Allende
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 22T. Matuludi
- 23F. Basadien
- 30R. Williams
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polokwane City have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Polokwane City win, 0 draws, 5 Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 Polokwane City | 8 Cup |
| May 3, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Polokwane City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Polokwane City 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Polokwane City | 8 Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polokwane City sit 10th in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 7 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (23 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Polokwane City.
- Where and when is Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.