Sekhukhune United vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Peter Mokaba Stadium, Pietersburg
The Footlab model makes Sekhukhune United the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sekhukhune United vs Richards Bay?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Sekhukhune United (1,789) and Richards Bay (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sekhukhune United have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Richards Bay have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 4-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sekhukhune United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Richards Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Richards Bay 1-1 Sekhukhune United | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Sekhukhune United 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Richards Bay 2-1 Sekhukhune United | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Sekhukhune United 2-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Richards Bay 1-0 Sekhukhune United | League Cup |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sekhukhune United 3-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune United on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sekhukhune United score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sekhukhune United | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sekhukhune United sit 5th in Premier Soccer League (6 points from 3 matches) and Richards Bay sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sekhukhune United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sekhukhune United vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab model makes Sekhukhune United the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Sekhukhune United vs Richards Bay played?
- Sekhukhune United vs Richards Bay is played on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.