Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Stellenbosch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Golden Arrows (1,785) and Stellenbosch (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Stellenbosch have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Orbit College(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Golden Arrows win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stellenbosch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Golden Arrows 1-1 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Golden Arrows 1-0 Stellenbosch | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Stellenbosch 4-3 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| May 3, 2025 | Golden Arrows 0-3 Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Stellenbosch 0-2 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| May 1, 2024 | Stellenbosch 3-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stellenbosch score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Stellenbosch | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Stellenbosch sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch?
- The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Stellenbosch.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch played?
- Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch is played on August 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.