Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Richards Bay win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kaizer Chiefs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Richards Bay 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Richards Bay 2-0 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Richards Bay 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay sit 11th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on August 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.