Gonsenheim vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 17Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz am Wildpark, Mainz
The Footlab model makes Gonsenheim the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gonsenheim vs Ahrweiler?
Gonsenheim starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gonsenheim have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | RW Wittlich(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| May 30, 2026 | Auersmacher(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Gonsenheim score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonsenheim | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gonsenheim sit 16th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (3 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gonsenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gonsenheim vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Gonsenheim the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Gonsenheim vs Ahrweiler played?
- Gonsenheim vs Ahrweiler is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz am Wildpark, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Wormatia WormsvsCosmos Koblenz
- Nov 14, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Nov 14, 2026DiefflenvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Nov 14, 2026MechtersheimvsFV Engers 07
- Nov 14, 2026EisbachtalvsSchott Mainz
- Nov 14, 2026RW WittlichvsAuersmacher
- Nov 15, 2026TuS KoblenzvsPirmasens
- Nov 15, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsElversberg II