GOR Mahia vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Shabana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
GOR Mahia starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GOR Mahia vs Shabana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GOR Mahia
4-3-3- 40C. Ochieng Oduor
- 30S. Kapen
- 22B. Ochieng
- 6E. Morrison
- 10A. Otieno
- 26P. Otieno
- 2G. Ochieng
- 5Alphonce Omija
- 15S. Owino
- 19Shariff Sirengo
- 35K. Omondi Onyango
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Shabana have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 4-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 GOR Mahia wins, 2 draws, 0 Shabana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | GOR Mahia 2-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Shabana 0-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Shabana 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | GOR Mahia 1-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | GOR Mahia 1-0 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Shabana 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Shabana | 0.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOR Mahia sit 1st in FKF Premier League (12 points from 5 matches) and Shabana sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
A question about GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOR Mahia vs Shabana?
- The Footlab AI model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Shabana.
- Where and when is GOR Mahia vs Shabana played?
- GOR Mahia vs Shabana is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.