Mathare United vs Bandari: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Mathare United, 34% for a draw, 34% for Bandari. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mathare United vs Bandari?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Mathare United (1,452) and Bandari (1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mathare United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bandari have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | KCB(away) | 2-0 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-0 | Shield Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mathare United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bandari win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Mathare United 1-0 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Bandari 1-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Mathare United 0-0 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Bandari 2-2 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2023 | Bandari 3-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Mathare United 0-1 Bandari | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mathare United vs Bandari on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mathare United score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bandari score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bandari | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mathare United sit 14th in FKF Premier League (41 points from 34 matches) and Bandari sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 44 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mathare United vs Bandari?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Mathare United, 34% for a draw, 34% for Bandari.
- Where and when is Mathare United vs Bandari played?
- Mathare United vs Bandari is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moi International Sports Centre, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.