AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Nairobi United. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Leopards wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate AFC Leopards (1,583) and Nairobi United (1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Nairobi United have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KCB(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 AFC Leopards wins, 0 draws, 0 Nairobi United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Nairobi United 0-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Leopards sit 11th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Nairobi United sit 7th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Nairobi United.
- Where and when is AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United played?
- AFC Leopards vs Nairobi United is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.