Gorilla vs Bugesera: result 0-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 2, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Gorilla vs Bugesera?
Bugesera won 0-1 on May 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′?Bugesera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gorilla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bugesera have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Police(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Marines(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Amagaju(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Rutsiro(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Rwamagana City(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Marines(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-4 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | APR(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Rwamagana City(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gorilla win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Bugesera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Gorilla 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Bugesera 2-2 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Bugesera 0-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Gorilla 2-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| May 14, 2022 | Bugesera 1-4 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gorilla score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorilla | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gorilla sit 11th in National Soccer League (40 points from 34 matches) and Bugesera sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy