Górnik Łęczna vs Hutnik Kraków: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Hutnik Kraków the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Hutnik Kraków?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Górnik Łęczna (1,777) and Hutnik Kraków (1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Hutnik Kraków have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hutnik Kraków score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hutnik Kraków | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Hutnik Kraków sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hutnik Kraków | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Hutnik Kraków?
- The Footlab model makes Hutnik Kraków the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Hutnik Kraków played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Hutnik Kraków is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsZawisza Bydgoszcz
- Nov 14, 2026Tychy 71vsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Nov 14, 2026Legia Warszawa IIvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Nov 14, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsŚwit Skolwin
- Nov 14, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsOlimpia Grudziądz
- Nov 14, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsSokół Kleczew
- Nov 14, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsAvia Świdnik
- Nov 14, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLechia Zielona Góra