Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola

Stal Stalowa Wola

Olimpia Grudziądz

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz?

Olimpia Grudziądz starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,821).

Stal Stalowa Wola win34 %

Draw25 %

Olimpia Grudziądz win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Stalowa Wola
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chojniczanka Chojnice(away)	0-2	II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026	Avia Świdnik(home)	4-0	II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026	Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)	1-3	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Śląsk Wrocław II(away)	2-3	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Tychy 71(home)	1-2	II Liga - East

Olimpia Grudziądz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)	2-1	II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026	Znicz Pruszków(away)	1-0	II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Świt Skolwin(home)	5-3	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Lechia Zielona Góra(away)	2-2	II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 23, 2025	Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Olimpia Grudziądz	II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2025	Olimpia Grudziądz 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola	II Liga - East
May 4, 2024	Olimpia Grudziądz 1-3 Stal Stalowa Wola	II Liga - East
Oct 22, 2023	Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Olimpia Grudziądz	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Nov 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Stalowa Wola	1.6	1.2	6	7/15	8/15
Olimpia Grudziądz	1.9	1.5	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Olimpia Grudziądz	5	2	2	1	7	8	8
12	Stal Stalowa Wola	5	2	0	3	8	7	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz?: The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.