Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?

Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

Goczałkowice Zdrój

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,737).

Górnik Polkowice win60 %

Draw22 %

Goczałkowice Zdrój win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

Goczałkowice Zdrój
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Nysa(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 27, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-0 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 26, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 28, 2024	Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 23, 2024	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 27, 2023	Górnik Polkowice 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15
Goczałkowice Zdrój	0.9	1.5	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	5	1	1	3	4	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?: The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?: Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.