Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański
The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Odra Bytom Odrzański (1,682) and Stal Brzeg (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Odra Bytom Odrzański win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stal Brzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Odra Bytom Odrzański 1-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 0-1 Odra Bytom Odrzański | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg on May 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Odra Bytom Odrzański the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Stal Brzeg.
- Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg played?
- Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Stal Brzeg is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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