Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Miedź Legnica II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Miedź Legnica II (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Miedź Legnica II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Miedź Legnica II score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Miedź Legnica II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Miedź Legnica II sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 17 | Miedź Legnica II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Miedź Legnica II.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II played?
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026ROW RybnikvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Oct 24, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsStilon Gorzów
- Oct 24, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 24, 2026Warta GorzówvsKluczbork
- Oct 24, 2026Carina GubinvsSparta Katowice
- Oct 24, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSłowianin
- Oct 24, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStal Brzeg
- Oct 24, 2026Barycz SułówvsŚlęza Wrocław