Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Carina Gubin win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sparta Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Carina Gubin 1-1 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Sparta Katowice 1-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Carina Gubin vs Sparta Katowice is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 24, 2026ROW RybnikvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Oct 24, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsStilon Gorzów
- Oct 24, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 24, 2026Warta GorzówvsKluczbork
- Oct 24, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSłowianin
- Oct 24, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStal Brzeg
- Oct 24, 2026Barycz SułówvsŚlęza Wrocław