Górnik Polkowice vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice
The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Górnik Polkowice (1,840) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa 0-3 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Górnik Polkowice 4-1 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 16, 2022 | SKRA Częstochowa 2-2 Górnik Polkowice | I Liga |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Górnik Polkowice 0-0 SKRA Częstochowa | I Liga |
| May 3, 2021 | Górnik Polkowice 2-1 SKRA Częstochowa | II Liga - East |
| Nov 7, 2020 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-3 Górnik Polkowice | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs SKRA Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for SKRA Częstochowa.
- Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
- Górnik Polkowice vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsStal Brzeg
- May 29, 2027ROW RybnikvsMiedź Legnica II
- May 29, 2027Stilon GorzówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- May 29, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsŚlęza Wrocław
- May 29, 2027Carina GubinvsKluczbork
- May 29, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsWarta Gorzów
- May 29, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsSparta Katowice
- May 29, 2027Barycz SułówvsSłowianin