Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg played?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Stal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,711) and Stal Brzeg (1,629).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win53 %

Draw23 %

Stal Brzeg win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	0-1	Cup

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1.2	1.5	5	6/15	8/15
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg played?: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Stal Brzeg is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.