Match

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra

Karkonosze Jelenia GóraWarta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,744) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win46 %
Draw26 %
Warta Gorzów win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Górnik Polkowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Barycz Sułów(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Carina Gubin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026ROW Rybnik(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Warta Gorzów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Warta Gorzów 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 31, 2025Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 31, 2025Warta Gorzów 3-2 Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3
Nov 9, 2024Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 14, 2024Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 21, 2023Warta Gorzów 1-1 Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1.71.449/159/15
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Karkonosze Jelenia Góra5221638
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów?
The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Warta Gorzów.
Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów played?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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