Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra
The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,744) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Warta Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 31, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 3-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 14, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Warta Gorzów 1-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów played?
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Warta Gorzów is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsStal Brzeg
- May 29, 2027ROW RybnikvsMiedź Legnica II
- May 29, 2027Stilon GorzówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- May 29, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsŚlęza Wrocław
- May 29, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsSKRA Częstochowa
- May 29, 2027Carina GubinvsKluczbork
- May 29, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsSparta Katowice
- May 29, 2027Barycz SułówvsSłowianin