Match

Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański

Odra Bytom OdrzańskiSparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice?

Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,682).

Odra Bytom Odrzański win32 %
Draw27 %
Sparta Katowice win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Odra Bytom Odrzański
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Kluczbork(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Rakow II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Odra Bytom Odrzański1.31.157/157/15
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Odra Bytom Odrzański54016112
5Sparta Katowice53118410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice played?
Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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