Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, Bytom Odrzański
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st in III Liga - Group 3 (12 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
- Where and when is Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Odra Bytom Odrzański vs Sparta Katowice is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion miejski w Bytomiu Odrzańskim, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- May 29, 2027ROW RybnikvsMiedź Legnica II
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