Gorno Lisiče vs Novaci: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gorno Lisiče. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gorno Lisiče vs Novaci?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Gorno Lisiče (1,294) and Novaci (1,330).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gorno Lisiče have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Novaci have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Makedonija GjP(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| May 30, 2026 | Sasa(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 19, 2018 | Novaci(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| May 12, 2018 | Makedonija GjP(away) | 0-4 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gorno Lisiče win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Novaci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2018 | Gorno Lisiče 0-0 Novaci | Second League |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Gorno Lisiče 2-1 Novaci | Second League |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Novaci 2-0 Gorno Lisiče | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Gorno Lisiče vs Novaci on May 19, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Gorno Lisiče score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Novaci score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorno Lisiče | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Novaci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gorno Lisiče sit 13th in Second League (0 points from 2 matches) and Novaci sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Novaci | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Gorno Lisiče | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gorno Lisiče vs Novaci?
- The Footlab model makes Novaci the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gorno Lisiče.
- Where and when is Gorno Lisiče vs Novaci played?
- Gorno Lisiče vs Novaci is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.