Akademija Pandev vs Belasica: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Blagoj Istatov, Strumica
The Footlab model makes Akademija Pandev the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Belasica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akademija Pandev vs Belasica?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Akademija Pandev (1,529) and Belasica (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akademija Pandev have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Belasica have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gorno Lisiče(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 31, 2026 | Skopje(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Shkupi 1927(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Akademija Pandev win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Belasica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | Belasica 0-4 Akademija Pandev | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2021 | Belasica 0-2 Akademija Pandev | First League |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Belasica 0-0 Akademija Pandev | First League |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Akademija Pandev 1-2 Belasica | First League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Akademija Pandev 0-2 Belasica | First League |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Belasica 0-1 Akademija Pandev | First League |
Last archived meeting: Belasica vs Akademija Pandev on Jan 18, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Akademija Pandev score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Belasica score 1.3 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akademija Pandev | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Belasica | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akademija Pandev sit 2nd in Second League (4 points from 2 matches) and Belasica sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Akademija Pandev | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akademija Pandev vs Belasica?
- The Footlab model makes Akademija Pandev the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Belasica.
- Where and when is Akademija Pandev vs Belasica played?
- Akademija Pandev vs Belasica is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Blagoj Istatov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.