Makedonija GjP vs Ohrid: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gorče Petrov, Skopje
The Footlab model makes Makedonija GjP the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ohrid. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Makedonija GjP vs Ohrid?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Makedonija GjP (1,510) and Ohrid (1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Makedonija GjP have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ohrid have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gorno Lisiče(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teteks(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 25, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Novaci(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sloga Vinica(home) | 7-1 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Golemo Konjari(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Makedonija GjP win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ohrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Ohrid 0-1 Makedonija GjP | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Makedonija GjP 2-0 Ohrid | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2020 | Ohrid 1-2 Makedonija GjP | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ohrid vs Makedonija GjP on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Makedonija GjP score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ohrid score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makedonija GjP | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ohrid | 2.2 | 0.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Makedonija GjP sit 3rd in Second League (4 points from 2 matches) and Ohrid sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Makedonija GjP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ohrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Makedonija GjP vs Ohrid?
- The Footlab model makes Makedonija GjP the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ohrid.
- Where and when is Makedonija GjP vs Ohrid played?
- Makedonija GjP vs Ohrid is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gorče Petrov, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.