Pelister vs Osogovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petar Miloševski, Bitola
The Footlab model makes Pelister the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Osogovo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelister vs Osogovo?
Pelister starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,343).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelister have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Osogovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kamjani(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamjani(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasica(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 23, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 3-3 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vardar Negotino(away) | 4-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pelister win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Osogovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2024 | Osogovo 3-0 Pelister | Second League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Pelister 2-1 Osogovo | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pelister score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Osogovo score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelister | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Osogovo | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelister sit 9th in Second League (2 points from 2 matches) and Osogovo sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pelister | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | Osogovo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelister vs Osogovo?
- The Footlab model makes Pelister the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Osogovo.
- Where and when is Pelister vs Osogovo played?
- Pelister vs Osogovo is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Petar Miloševski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.