Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Privett Park, Gosport, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gosport Borough (1,764) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gosport Borough have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gosport Borough win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gosport Borough 3-6 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway 1-2 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 3-2 Gosport Borough | FA Trophy |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gosport Borough 0-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Gosport Borough 1-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gosport Borough sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Privett Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Havant & WvillevsEvesham United
- Dec 19, 2026Taunton TownvsChippenham Town
- Dec 19, 2026BerkhamstedvsMalvern Town
- Dec 19, 2026Frome TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Poole TownvsGloucester City
- Dec 19, 2026Wimborne TownvsSholing
- Dec 19, 2026Yate TownvsChichester City