Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Frome Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Frome Town 1-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Frome Town 8-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 4, 2011 | Basingstoke Town 3-0 Frome Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Frome Town 0-0 Basingstoke Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Frome Town on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Havant & WvillevsEvesham United
- Dec 19, 2026Taunton TownvsChippenham Town
- Dec 19, 2026BerkhamstedvsMalvern Town
- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Gosport BoroughvsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 19, 2026Poole TownvsGloucester City
- Dec 19, 2026Wimborne TownvsSholing
- Dec 19, 2026Yate TownvsChichester City