Match

Poole Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownGloucester City

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Gloucester City?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Gloucester City (1,864).

Poole Town win39 %
Draw25 %
Gloucester City win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Gloucester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanwell Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bracknell Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chertsey Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Gloucester City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Gloucester City 3-2 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 28, 2026Poole Town 1-2 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 18, 2025Gloucester City 3-2 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 22, 2025Poole Town 0-1 Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 30, 2024Gloucester City 4-1 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Poole Town on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Gloucester City1.61.267/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Poole Town4202566
15Gloucester City4112454

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Gloucester City?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gloucester City.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Gloucester City played?
Poole Town vs Gloucester City is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Poole Town and Gloucester City

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