Poole Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poole Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Poole Town (1,892) and Gloucester City (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poole Town vs Gloucester City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poole Town
Not enough data to predict the Poole Town lineup.
Gloucester City
Not enough data to predict the Gloucester City lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Gloucester City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mulbarton Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Poole Town wins, 0 draws, 5 Gloucester City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Gloucester City 3-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Poole Town 1-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gloucester City 3-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gloucester City 4-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Poole Town on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (24 points from 11 matches) and Gloucester City sit 19th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Poole Town vs Gloucester City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Gloucester City.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Gloucester City played?
- Poole Town vs Gloucester City is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 19, 2026Taunton TownvsChippenham Town
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- Dec 19, 2026Frome TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Gosport BoroughvsPlymouth Parkway
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