Poole Town vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Gloucester City (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Gloucester City 3-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Poole Town 1-2 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gloucester City 3-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gloucester City 4-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Poole Town on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Gloucester City.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Gloucester City played?
- Poole Town vs Gloucester City is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Havant & WvillevsEvesham United
- Dec 19, 2026Taunton TownvsChippenham Town
- Dec 19, 2026BerkhamstedvsMalvern Town
- Dec 19, 2026Frome TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Gosport BoroughvsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 19, 2026Wimborne TownvsSholing
- Dec 19, 2026Yate TownvsChichester City