Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town?
Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Berkhamsted
Not enough data to predict the Berkhamsted lineup.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Malvern Town have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (16 points from 11 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Berkhamsted | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 8 |
A question about Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Malvern Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Havant & WvillevsEvesham United
- Dec 19, 2026Taunton TownvsChippenham Town
- Dec 19, 2026Frome TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 19, 2026Hanwell TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 19, 2026Gosport BoroughvsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 19, 2026Poole TownvsGloucester City
- Dec 19, 2026Wimborne TownvsSholing
- Dec 19, 2026Yate TownvsChichester City