Goytacaz vs Macaé: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Ary de Oliveira e Souza, Campos de Goytacaz
The Footlab model makes Goytacaz the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Macaé. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goytacaz vs Macaé?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Goytacaz (1,616) and Macaé (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goytacaz have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Macaé have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | América RJ(away) | 0-3 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | América RJ(home) | 0-3 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Macaé(home) | 4-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Macaé(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 2-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Americano Campos(away) | 1-2 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Americano Campos(home) | 0-0 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-4 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(away) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Goytacaz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Macaé win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Goytacaz 4-1 Macaé | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Macaé 1-1 Goytacaz | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Macaé 0-1 Goytacaz | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Macaé 3-2 Goytacaz | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Goytacaz score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Macaé score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goytacaz | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Macaé | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goytacaz vs Macaé?
- The Footlab model makes Goytacaz the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Macaé.
- Where and when is Goytacaz vs Macaé played?
- Goytacaz vs Macaé is played on September 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Ary de Oliveira e Souza, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.