Gozzano vs Ligorna: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, Gozzano
The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Gozzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gozzano vs Ligorna?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gozzano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ligorna have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Cairese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 5-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 10, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 9-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Asti(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gozzano win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ligorna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Ligorna 0-1 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Gozzano 3-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Gozzano 2-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Ligorna 1-4 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Gozzano 1-1 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Ligorna 1-0 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gozzano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ligorna score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gozzano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ligorna | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gozzano sit 15th in Serie D - Girone A (39 points from 34 matches) and Ligorna sit 2nd (72 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 26 | 72 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gozzano vs Ligorna?
- The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Gozzano.
- Where and when is Gozzano vs Ligorna played?
- Gozzano vs Ligorna is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.