Grafičar vs Napredak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Grafičara, Beograd
The Footlab AI model makes Grafičar the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grafičar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grafičar vs Napredak?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Grafičar (1,538) and Napredak (1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grafičar vs Napredak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grafičar
4-3-3- 99Prince Obasi
- 9N. Furtula
- 23U. Djordjevic
- 13F. Vasiljević
- 77D. Anokic
- 60D. Saric
- 15D. Lazić
- 33I. Lakićević
- 5P. Golubović
- 4S. Hajdin
- 1S. Radanović
Napredak
4-3-3- 95M. Zuvić
- 77N. Srećković
- 7P. Bogdanovic
- 23A. Milić
- 4F. Krstić
- 18N. Stevanovic
- 2N. Janković
- 22A. Andrejević
- 44L. Miladinović
- 33V. Bogdanović
- 1L. BaleviÄ
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grafičar have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Napredak have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Javor(home) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Teleoptik(home) | 4-1 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Metalac GM(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Grafičar wins, 0 draws, 1 Napredak win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak 1-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grafičar score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grafičar | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Napredak | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grafičar sit 14th in Prva Liga (11 points from 13 matches) and Napredak sit 9th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Napredak | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 18 |
| 14 | Grafičar | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 11 |
A question about Grafičar vs Napredak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grafičar vs Napredak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Grafičar the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Grafičar vs Napredak played?
- Grafičar vs Napredak is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Grafičara, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.