Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Grafičara, Beograd
The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for OFK Bor 1919. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Grafičar (1,569) and OFK Bor 1919 (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grafičar have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; OFK Bor 1919 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napredak(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(away) | 0-3 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grafičar score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; OFK Bor 1919 score 3.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grafičar | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| OFK Bor 1919 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grafičar sit 11th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and OFK Bor 1919 sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grafičar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919?
- The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for OFK Bor 1919.
- Where and when is Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919 played?
- Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919 is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Grafičara, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.