Napredak vs OFK Vršac: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Mladost, Kruševac
The Footlab model makes OFK Vršac the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Napredak vs OFK Vršac?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Napredak (1,524) and OFK Vršac (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napredak have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; OFK Vršac have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 3-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Javor(away) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naftagas(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Napredak win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 OFK Vršac win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | OFK Vršac 1-0 Napredak | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Napredak score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; OFK Vršac score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napredak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| OFK Vršac | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napredak sit 5th in Prva Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and OFK Vršac sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | OFK Vršac | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Napredak | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Napredak vs OFK Vršac?
- The Footlab model makes OFK Vršac the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Napredak vs OFK Vršac played?
- Napredak vs OFK Vršac is played on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Mladost, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.